Ventura County vs Real Salt Lake Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 3
WIL
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
OKC
0 - 1
LAG
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 2
ARI
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PIT
3 - 1
LAG
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
PNN
3 - 1
LAG
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Salt Lake Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
REA
2 - 5
PIT
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
RIC
0 - 0
REA
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
REA
0 - 0
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
REA
2 - 0
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |