Ventura County vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ORA
1 - 2
LAG
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 1
LAG
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
SEA
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
AUS
2 - 3
LAG
52%
23%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 2
ARI
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
POR
0 - 3
SAC
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ORA
3 - 1
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
TUL
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
VAN
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |