Ventura County vs Houston Dynamo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
STL
4 - 1
LAG
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 2
LAF
84%
10%
6%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 5
SPK
21%
22%
58%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
HOU
0 - 4
LAG
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LAG
0 - 0
MON
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 3
NOT
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
HOU
25%
22%
53%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 3
STL
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
HOU
0 - 4
LAG
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 3
HOU
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |