Ventura County vs Fresno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 0
AUB
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
LVG
64%
19%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
LAG
4 - 4
RGV
48%
23%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
USA
2 - 0
LAG
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LAG
4 - 2
TUL
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2019 |
FFC
0 - 1
SAC
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MON
2 - 4
FFC
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FFC
2 - 2
ORA
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FFC
3 - 1
TUL
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 0
FFC
51%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |