Ventura County vs Fresno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
USA
2 - 1
LAG
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
LAG
1 - 1
SPK
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LAG
3 - 4
POR
56%
22%
21%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
LAG
1 - 4
REN
27%
25%
49%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
ORA
0 - 3
LAG
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
FFC
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 1
FFC
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
OKC
0 - 0
FFC
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
FFC
4 - 0
ARI
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
POR
2 - 4
FFC
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |