Ventura County vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2016 |
SEA
1 - 1
LAG
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
VAN
4 - 3
LAG
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 2
SAC
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
LAG
3 - 2
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RGV
0 - 2
LAG
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 3
COL
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
TUC
0 - 5
ARI
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ORA
1 - 1
ARI
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARI
0 - 0
OKC
32%
25%
44%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 1
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |