Ventura County vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
LAG
49%
27%
25%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
OKC
1 - 2
LAG
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ORA
0 - 2
LAG
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 1
LAG
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
LAG
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COR
3 - 0
ARI
85%
11%
5%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 3
ARI
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ARI
0 - 0
SPK
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 0
ARI
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
ARI
0 - 1
OKC
29%
24%
46%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |