La Fresneda vs U.Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
FRE
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 0
AND
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 2
MUR
27%
23%
50%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AST
3 - 1
FRE
59%
22%
20%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 3
ROC
34%
25%
41%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
U.Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
AST
42%
24%
35%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
COM
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
COM
0 - 2
ESM
46%
23%
32%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 1
COM
56%
20%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
BER
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |