La Fresneda vs Nalón CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
5 - 1
FRE
75%
16%
10%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 0
UDL
10%
16%
74%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 0
FRE
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 4
NAV
13%
20%
68%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 1
FRE
72%
16%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nalón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NAL
1 - 1
UDL
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 2
NAL
47%
26%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAL
4 - 0
MAD
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
LUA
2 - 0
NAL
24%
26%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAL
1 - 0
ESM
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |