La Fresneda vs Colloto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
FRE
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
AST
53%
23%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 3
FRE
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
VAL
46%
24%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 0
FRE
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
AST
13%
22%
65%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 1
COL
79%
15%
7%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
ESM
11%
20%
69%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 0
COL
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
7 - 1
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |