La Fresneda vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
COL
3 - 4
FRE
8%
14%
78%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 4
REA
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
FRE
18%
19%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 0
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
FRE
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VCD
2 - 2
AST
31%
27%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
AST
8 - 1
COL
84%
12%
4%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
REA
3 - 1
AST
57%
22%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AST
3 - 0
AST
75%
17%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
AST
30%
26%
43%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |