Castellana vs Atlético Quinindé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LCF
0 - 0
SES
21%
20%
60%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SES
0 - 0
LCF
77%
14%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LCF
2 - 3
CFC
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 4
LCF
48%
21%
31%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Quinindé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ATQ
1 - 0
CIA
31%
22%
47%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CIA
4 - 2
ATQ
52%
21%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -2 |