Torneo Regional Federal Amateur 1/16
Global 0-2
La Amistad vs Dep. Roca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Amistad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 0
AMI
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 0
AMI
19%
20%
62%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -3 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 4
AMI
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 1
API
73%
16%
12%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 1
CAT
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 0
AMI
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
DRO
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
DRO
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DRO
5 - 1
JAD
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DRO
4 - 0
MAN
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |