Śląsk Wrocław vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
17º
15º
14
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 56 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 53 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 52 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 52 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 52 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 51 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 48 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 48 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 47 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
2% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 43 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 43 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 42 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
4 | 42 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 42 |
16º
|
5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 41 |
17º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 39 |
18º
|
17.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 10% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4.5% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Śląsk Wrocław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
KOR
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
3 - 2
STG
27%
23%
49%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
WLO
0 - 0
SLA
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STG
2 - 0
SLA
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
3 - 1
CAR
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
FCD
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
4 - 1
RAD
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
BIF
36%
24%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 2
WAR
36%
27%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BIF
2 - 3
WAR
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |