L'Aquila vs Viterbese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 0
LAQ
66%
22%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SSS
27%
29%
44%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
BEN
2 - 1
LAQ
62%
25%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 2
TER
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FCC
2 - 1
LAQ
66%
22%
13%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 0
VIS
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 1
VIT
35%
29%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
VIT
3 - 1
SOR
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 0
PAT
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |