L'Aquila vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 1
LAQ
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LAQ
4 - 1
ASM
59%
23%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 1
FCC
52%
25%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GIU
0 - 3
LAQ
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 0
RAA
57%
24%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 1
GIU
52%
26%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 0
VIG
36%
25%
38%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
0 - 0
RAA
56%
25%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 4
VIG
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |