L'Aquila vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
LAQ
0 - 2
GIU
34%
28%
38%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FER
2 - 0
LAQ
53%
26%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
LAQ
2 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CHI
3 - 2
LAQ
55%
25%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LAQ
0 - 1
VIR
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
USF
3 - 3
BEN
71%
20%
10%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
USF
1 - 0
VIS
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
USF
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
USF
0 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 2
USF
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |