L'Aquila vs Termoli Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LAQ
2 - 3
BFM
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
2 - 2
LAQ
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
LAQ
2 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RCF
1 - 1
LAQ
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 1
LAQ
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Termoli Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
VSU
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 0
TER
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
TER
4 - 0
ANC
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ISE
2 - 1
TER
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
AVE
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |