L'Aquila vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
USN
1 - 3
LAQ
7%
15%
78%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LAQ
2 - 2
VIS
37%
28%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
LAQ
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
LAQ
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LAQ
3 - 0
JES
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
REC
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAM
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLY
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAN
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |