L'Aquila vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
21.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TUT
1 - 1
LAQ
21%
28%
51%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
LAQ
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ACP
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 1
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LAQ
0 - 0
ASG
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAR
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACP
36%
28%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |