L'Aquila vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 1
LAQ
73%
18%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
VIG
3 - 1
LAQ
60%
23%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 2
NEA
63%
22%
15%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
LAQ
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
LAQ
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RAA
0 - 1
GAV
35%
25%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
ASM
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
FCC
28%
27%
45%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 1
GAV
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
3 - 0
GIU
65%
21%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |