L'Aquila vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
LAQ
73%
17%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 2
PON
15%
23%
62%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 3
LAQ
84%
12%
4%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 1
LAQ
48%
27%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LAQ
0 - 1
APR
34%
26%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
CHI
22%
25%
53%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
RAA
3 - 0
FON
53%
25%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FON
2 - 3
USP
28%
25%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
FON
37%
28%
36%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
FCC
23%
26%
51%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |