L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
LAQ
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ULD
0 - 2
LAQ
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SPO
63%
23%
14%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
LAQ
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LAQ
2 - 0
NUO
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 3
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MON
7 - 0
FOL
74%
17%
10%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
7 - 0
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 4
ULD
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 1
FOL
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |