L'Aquila vs Ebolitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
LAQ
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAQ
2 - 1
FAN
63%
22%
16%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
APR
1 - 2
LAQ
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 1
PRG
31%
28%
40%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
LAQ
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 6
GAV
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIG
4 - 0
EBO
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EBO
2 - 1
GIU
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 2
EBO
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EBO
3 - 2
ARZ
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |