L'Aquila vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 1
LAQ
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LAQ
3 - 1
ACI
24%
29%
47%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VIS
0 - 0
LAQ
61%
24%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
LAQ
1 - 1
PAT
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
LAQ
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAT
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TAR
0 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 2
USF
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |