L'Aquila vs Campobasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 2
LAQ
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ASD
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 0
TER
29%
26%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LAQ
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FON
1 - 3
LAQ
25%
26%
49%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
GAV
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 1
APR
35%
27%
39%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
CAM
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
CHI
29%
28%
43%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +3 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
CAM
64%
22%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |