L'Aquila vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 0
LAQ
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
LAQ
3 - 2
VIT
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 1
LAQ
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
LAQ
1 - 0
CAS
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SAS
3 - 1
LAQ
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2001 |
BEN
3 - 2
VIS
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 0
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 1
TAR
27%
27%
47%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 1
BEN
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 0
FER
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |