L'Aquila vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 2
LAQ
40%
25%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LAQ
3 - 1
SAN
69%
22%
10%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
LAQ
23%
25%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LAQ
2 - 0
SAS
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 1
LAQ
14%
23%
63%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 1
RIE
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 0
AVE
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
MON
22%
23%
56%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVE
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 3
ULD
65%
19%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |