L'Aquila vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 4
GAV
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 1
LAQ
73%
18%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
VIG
3 - 1
LAQ
60%
23%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 2
NEA
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
LAQ
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 1
ACI
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 0
NEA
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FON
2 - 3
APR
38%
24%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 2
APR
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 1
GAV
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |