L'Aquila vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
25.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 0
LAQ
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 1
GRO
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
LAQ
26%
28%
47%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 2
FOR
57%
25%
17%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PIS
3 - 1
LAQ
25%
27%
47%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
ARZ
77%
17%
7%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 3
FCS
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
ARZ
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |