FC Kyzylzhar vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
5º
34
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kyzylzhar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KYZ
0 - 0
FCA
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 0
KYZ
34%
30%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 0
AKS
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 2
KYZ
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 1
SHA
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
ZHE
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
TOB
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
VKP
3 - 0
TOB
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 0
ORD
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
VKP
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |