FC Kyzylzhar vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
10º
10º
30
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 29 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
74.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 14% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kyzylzhar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KYZ
1 - 1
FKY
47%
29%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZHE
0 - 0
KYZ
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 2
FCA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 0
KYZ
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 1
FKT
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
ORD
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
AST
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
AST
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |