Kyrgyzstan vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
59.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyrgyzstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
JOR
0 - 0
KGZ
78%
16%
7%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
KGZ
1 - 2
AUS
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 86 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
BGD
1 - 3
KGZ
40%
26%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
CHN
2 - 0
KGZ
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 83 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CHN
4 - 0
KGZ
87%
11%
3%
|
44 | 82 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
TJK
0 - 3
AUS
8%
18%
74%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
BGD
1 - 1
TJK
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
TJK
1 - 3
JOR
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
TJK
2 - 3
SYR
17%
20%
62%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
MDV
0 - 2
TJK
33%
23%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |