Kyrgyzstan vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyrgyzstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
KGZ
4 - 0
PAK
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
PAK
0 - 2
KGZ
55%
21%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2003 |
NPL
0 - 2
KGZ
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
KGZ
1 - 2
AFG
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CYM
0 - 1
KGZ
69%
17%
14%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
TJK
2 - 0
BGD
70%
18%
13%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
BGD
0 - 2
TJK
37%
25%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 1
TJK
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TJK
0 - 1
THA
7%
13%
80%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
UZB
4 - 1
TJK
87%
10%
4%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |