Kyran Shymkent vs Yelimay Semey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
10º
5º
76
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyran Shymkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 3
KYR
4%
10%
86%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
KYR
0 - 1
FKY
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
FKT
4 - 3
KYR
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
KYR
2 - 0
TAR
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
FJQ
4 - 2
KYR
4%
11%
85%
|
57 | 14 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Yelimay Semey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FKY
3 - 2
FKZ
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 1
FKY
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FKY
7 - 0
EKI
10%
17%
73%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 5
FKY
5%
12%
83%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
FKY
1 - 0
FKY
10%
17%
73%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +5 |