Kyran Shymkent vs Aktobe II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
10º
5º
23
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyran Shymkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
FKY
3 - 4
KYR
25%
21%
54%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
KYR
2 - 6
FKT
32%
27%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
TAR
1 - 2
KYR
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
KYR
3 - 2
FJQ
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 1
KYR
14%
17%
69%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Aktobe II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 5
FKZ
12%
20%
68%
|
15 | 65 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 1
FKA
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 2
EKI
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 56 | 42 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKY
3 - 1
FKA
84%
12%
5%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 2
FKY
7%
15%
78%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |