Kyoto Sanga vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
KYO
3 - 2
KAT
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
JEF
1 - 2
KYO
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
KYO
4 - 0
SAG
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
KYO
2 - 0
ROA
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TOK
1 - 1
KYO
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
VVA
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VVA
0 - 2
VIS
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TOK
3 - 2
VVA
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GAM
1 - 2
VVA
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GAI
0 - 3
VVA
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |