Kyoto Sanga vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
KYO
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
KYO
0 - 2
URA
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 1
KYO
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
KYO
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
KYO
0 - 1
CER
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
KAT
3 - 0
KAM
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GIF
1 - 0
KAT
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
KAT
2 - 1
HUF
64%
18%
18%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
KAT
1 - 0
FUK
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
SAG
1 - 1
KAT
16%
23%
61%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |