Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ROA
0 - 0
KYO
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JEF
1 - 1
KYO
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
KYO
1 - 1
ZWE
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
KYO
2 - 1
OIT
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
JUB
3 - 3
KYO
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FAG
3 - 0
THE
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
EHI
1 - 1
FAG
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FAG
1 - 0
AVI
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
FAG
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FAG
0 - 1
GIR
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |