Kyoto Sanga vs Azul Claro Numazu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
SHO
1 - 0
KYO
11%
22%
67%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
KYO
2 - 2
MAC
37%
28%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
ROA
0 - 3
KYO
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
KYO
1 - 1
GIF
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TOK
1 - 2
KYO
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Azul Claro Numazu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
AZU
0 - 1
BLA
32%
30%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CER
1 - 4
AZU
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
AZU
1 - 0
GIR
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
YSC
1 - 4
AZU
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AZU
4 - 0
GOS
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |