Kwara United vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kwara United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MFM
1 - 2
KWA
30%
30%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 1
KWA
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
KWA
1 - 0
NIG
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 0
KWA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
KWA
1 - 0
ENY
39%
30%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 0
NIG
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 1
HEA
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 0
ENY
26%
30%
44%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
KAT
1 - 1
HEA
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 0
LOB
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |