Kwara United vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kwara United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
WIK
1 - 1
KWA
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
KWA
2 - 0
WAR
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
KWA
1 - 1
ABI
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ENU
1 - 0
KWA
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
KWA
3 - 0
AST
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
HEA
2 - 2
ABI
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ENU
2 - 0
HEA
51%
28%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
HEA
2 - 1
AST
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 1
HEA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
HEA
2 - 0
LOB
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |