Kwara United vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
26.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kwara United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
KAN
6 - 1
KWA
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
NAS
0 - 1
KWA
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
KWA
1 - 3
PLA
29%
30%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
WIK
3 - 1
KWA
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
KWA
4 - 1
JGS
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
HEA
1 - 0
PLA
28%
30%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
WIK
1 - 0
HEA
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
HEA
1 - 0
JGS
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
LOB
3 - 0
HEA
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
HEA
1 - 1
AST
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |