Kvarnsveden vs Arlanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
73%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
10º
14º
14º
43
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kvarnsveden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCJ
7 - 0
KVA
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KVA
0 - 8
ENS
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HUD
8 - 1
KVA
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KVA
0 - 6
VIK
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KVA
0 - 2
KUN
25%
22%
54%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
VIK
62%
18%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCJ
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 3
FCA
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
6 - 2
HUD
28%
21%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +4 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
4 - 1
SKI
26%
20%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |