NK Kustošija vs HNK Orijent Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
11º
11º
43
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Kustošija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
DUB
5 - 2
KUS
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 0
KUS
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
PRV
0 - 2
KUS
12%
20%
69%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
KUS
0 - 3
SLO
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
KUS
0 - 1
KRU
28%
24%
49%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 0
HDR
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 0
ZMI
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NKD
1 - 1
ORI
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 1
HNK
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BIJ
0 - 0
ORI
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |