NK Kustošija vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
11º
11º
22
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Kustošija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
BIJ
1 - 0
KUS
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 0
KUS
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 2
ZMI
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
NKJ
2 - 1
KUS
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
KUS
2 - 1
RUD
18%
26%
57%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
HDR
2 - 2
ZMI
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NKJ
3 - 2
HDR
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
HDR
2 - 2
RUD
17%
24%
60%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 1
HDR
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 2
HNK
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |