NK Kustošija vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
11º
11º
22
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Kustošija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 1
KUS
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ZMI
1 - 1
KUS
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
KUS
1 - 4
NKD
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 2
KUS
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
KUS
3 - 2
ZAG
46%
28%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 1
ZMI
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NKD
1 - 0
HDR
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 0
HNK
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BIJ
1 - 2
HDR
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
HDR
2 - 2
DUG
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |