Kuşadasıspor vs Karsiyaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
13º
16º
15º
35
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 58 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 56 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 49 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 31 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 42% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 55% |
|
Mid-table
|
18% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
82% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuşadasıspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SIL
3 - 1
KUS
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KUS
2 - 3
VBK
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAH
3 - 0
KUS
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KUS
0 - 1
AHP
56%
23%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 0
KUS
35%
25%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Karsiyaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
VBK
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AHP
0 - 3
KAR
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
ELA
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KBS
0 - 3
KAR
26%
24%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
KIR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |