Kuressaare vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
8º
35
5º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 84 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 74 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 68 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 66 |
4º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
5 - 1
KUR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 3
KUR
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 2
PAI
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MAA
0 - 12
KUR
6%
13%
81%
|
63 | 12 | 51 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KUR
1 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
TAL
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
7 - 0
ARU
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 1
TRA
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
42%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
TRA
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |