Kuressaare vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
8º
7º
38
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 0
KUR
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 0
KUR
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
TAL
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
KUR
0 - 2
KAL
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 0
KUR
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 1
KAL
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
TAM
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 0
TRA
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 2
TRA
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
HJP
50%
25%
24%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |